Crypto Assets market迎来黄金窗口期

In Crypto Assets investment, most of the time is spent waiting, with only a few moments experiencing explosive growth. Investors need to patiently endure the long bear markets and dull consolidation periods, and even experience false breakouts that make them doubt. But when various factors align simultaneously, the market can once again experience an explosion like in 2021.

The market currently seems to be entering a rare 6-12 month golden window period. Investors who position themselves early are likely to reap substantial rewards. Let’s analyze why now might be a critical moment.

Technical Signals Are Strong

From a technical analysis perspective, multiple indicators show that the market as a whole is strengthening:

1. The weekly MACD of Bitcoin and Ethereum has just confirmed a bullish crossover.
2. Ethereum breaks through the 200-day moving average
3. Relative Strength Index ( RSI ) turns bullish
4. Bitcoin stabilizes on the weekly trend line
5. Ethereum may seem a bit behind, but it is catching up.

These are multiple confirmation signals that often appear before historic price surges, indicating that the market may soon enter a strong upward phase.

Global Liquidity Expansion

The price of Bitcoin has a high correlation with the global M2 money supply. When global liquidity expands, Bitcoin tends to experience significant increases. Currently, M2 is rising rapidly, creating favorable conditions for the rise of Bitcoin and even the entire Crypto Assets market.

The macro environment tends to stabilize

Recently, the macro environment has gradually shifted from chaos to calm. Factors such as the advancement of peace negotiations, the reaching of trade agreements, cooling inflation, and positive GDP forecasts have alleviated the pessimistic sentiment in the market. This has created conditions for the following scenarios:

• The economy may be stronger.
• Liquidity injection rather than tightening
• Market volatility decreases, direction becomes clearer.

With the Bitcoin halving cycle coming once every four years approaching, the timing could not be more perfect.

Institutional funds continue to flow in

There are substantial forces driving behind the market:

• Large institutions continue to buy Bitcoin
• The spot Bitcoin ETF has launched, attracting traditional investors.
• More Crypto Assets ETFs may be coming soon.
• The bill supporting Crypto Assets is progressing.
• The regulatory attitude is becoming more relaxed.

This institutional consensus is unprecedented, indicating that Crypto Assets are gaining wider recognition.

Investment Strategy Recommendations

1. Go with the flow, don't easily short.
2. Treat pullbacks as buying opportunities
3. Clearly define the investment targets and price levels
4. Formulate an exit strategy and cash out profits in batches.
5. Pay attention to macro catalysts, such as changes in Federal Reserve policy.

The market may reach a phase peak in July and August, with Bitcoin prices potentially reaching around $150,000. However, this is just speculation based on current trends and is not absolute.

Conclusion

Currently, the market conditions are relatively favorable in all aspects: technical indicators are bullish, global liquidity is expanding, the macro environment is stabilizing, and institutional investment enthusiasm is high. Such opportunities are rare. For investors who have already entered the market, the key is to adhere to the established strategy; for those who have not yet entered the market, it is important to carefully assess the risks and seize the opportunity.

This round of bull market may have already started, but investors still need to remain rational and act cautiously.