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Expert Opinion: The Pi Cycle top indicator predicts that the Bitcoin cycle peak will occur in the first quarter of 2027.
Market expert Mark Moss has caught the attention of the encryption community, pointing out a perfect indicator for predicting the Bitcoin cycle peak—the Pi Cycle top indicator. According to this indicator, Moss believes that the Bitcoin cycle peak will not occur this year but in the first quarter of 2027. He stated that the Pi Cycle top indicator has accurately predicted the Bitcoin cycle peaks in 2013, 2017, and 2021, and predicts that at that time, the Bitcoin price could reach $395,000.
Pi Cycle Top Indicator Predicts Bitcoin Cycle Peak: Q1 2027
In a post on X, Moss stated that the Pi Cycle peak indicator predicts that the Bitcoin cycle peak will occur in the first quarter of 2027, rather than at the end of this year as predicted by other analysts. He referred to this indicator as the "Holy Grail of Bitcoin indicators" and noted that it has accurately predicted the Bitcoin cycle peaks in 2013, 2017, and 2021.
Although many people expect Bitcoin to reach its cyclical peak in the fourth quarter of this year, Moss believes that, according to the predictions of the Pi Cycle peak indicator, the cyclical peak will arrive in the first quarter of 2027, and Bitcoin's price could potentially reach $395,000 at that time. Moss acknowledges that, while this prediction seems incredible, he emphasizes that the historical performance of this indicator cannot be ignored.
Rekt Capital also supports the 2027 cycle peak prediction
Crypto analyst Rekt Capital also mentioned the Pi Cycle top indicator, stating that it suggests the Bitcoin cycle may be extended. He further confirmed that the Pi Cycle top indicator predicts that the cycle top for Bitcoin will occur in the first quarter of 2027, and that the Bitcoin price could potentially reach $400,000. Rekt Capital noted that considering the historical cycle patterns of Bitcoin, while the market generally predicts the cycle top will be reached in the fourth quarter of this year, the moving average (MA) has changed with each rise of Bitcoin, indicating that the cross of the Pi Cycle top may be delayed until mid-2026.
Nevertheless, Rekt Capital still reminds market participants to remain cautious for the fourth quarter of this year and suggests preparing possible exit strategies during this period in case the Bitcoin cycle peaks earlier than expected.
Bitcoin 4-year cycle may have ended
In a recent episode of the podcast, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart and Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan shared their views on whether the Bitcoin 4-year cycle has ended. Seyffart stated that as more institutional investors enter the Bitcoin market, the amplitude of the Bitcoin cycle may decrease, and the future peaks of Bitcoin cycles may not occur as expected. He predicts that Bitcoin will experience a bull year in 2026.
In contrast, Bitwise's Chief Investment Officer Hougan believes that Bitcoin's four-year cycle has ended, noting that the factors driving this cycle have weakened. Currently, the inflow of funds into Bitcoin is continuously increasing, which will continue to drive demand growth.
Conclusion: As the Pi Cycle top indicator predicts a peak in the first quarter of 2027, the Bitcoin cycle top may differ from what many expect, potentially occurring over a longer time frame. Although the market generally anticipates that Bitcoin will reach its cycle top in the fourth quarter of this year, more and more analysts are warning that Bitcoin's price movement may not follow historical patterns but rather be influenced by factors such as increased institutional investor participation and capital inflows, meaning the cycle may be delayed.