XRP Is at a Crossroads: Whale Activity Signals an Upcoming Important Price Check

XRP has struggled to maintain its growth momentum in recent weeks, with a fall of nearly 10% over the past month. At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $2.96, amid the overall market showing mixed signals. While assets like Ethereum continue to rise in price, setting new highs, XRP is continually facing corrections, causing market participants to closely monitor whether this trend can last longer or stabilize in the near future. A CryptoQuant analyst noted that the current price action of XRP follows a rally at the beginning of 2025, when this token reached a price range of $3.5 to $4. This surge was accompanied by a spike in capital inflow to exchanges, especially from large investors, signaling significant profit-taking activity. The analyst suggests that this influx of funds could put additional pressure on the token's price, forcing investors to weigh both the risks and potential opportunities ahead. The Data Flow of Money Inflow into XRP on the Exchange Indicates Profit-Taking Activity The analyst, known by the nickname PelinayPA, emphasized the importance of inflow transactions of XRP on the exchange in a recent analysis. The analyst explained that historically, large inflow periods from major holders often occur before the price peaks of XRP. Notable examples include the peak in 2018 above $3, the peak in 2021 near $1.90, and the price surge in 2023 to $0.90. According to the latest data, a similar trend has emerged. PelinayPA notes: At the beginning of 2025, XRP surged to a level of 3.5–4 dollars with a strong influx of capital, especially in the high-value ranges of (100.000–1 million XRP and above ). This indicates significant selling pressure from whale investors. Currently, the influx of capital remains at an unusually high level, indicating short-term selling pressure.

The report outlined several scenarios depending on whether XRP can maintain the support level near $3.00. In the short term, continued inflows may push the price up to the $2.80 region. However, if the $3 threshold is maintained, analysts believe this level could serve as a foundation for a new upward push, with resistance from $4.2 to $4.5 being key to unlocking further gains. In the long term, analysts emphasize that XRP still shows a stronger upward structural trend compared to previous market cycles, opening up the possibility of reaching new highs above 5 dollars by the end of 2025. Technical Levels Indicating Success or Failure In addition to on-chain prospects, traders are also focusing on technical indicators. An analyst on X, posting under the name "XRP Update," emphasized the importance of the $2.95 level, which coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. According to their analysis, holding the price above this level could pave the way towards $3.33 and $3.57, while breaking through the $4.6–$5.2 level would take XRP into a new price range.

On the other hand, failing to maintain the support level could open the door for a deeper fall, with the $2.65 level marked as the next important threshold. This aligns with the caution reflected in the on-chain data, indicating that XRP is currently at a critical stage, where the next move could determine its trajectory for the rest of the year.