ZORA Price Prediction: A Big Pump of 55% Overnight Reaches a Historical High! Is the $0.25 Target Achievable or Is a Bubble Emerging?

The native Token ZORA of the blockchain-based social creator platform has been soaring, experiencing a big pump of 55% overnight, reaching a historic high of $0.1409. Although it has now retraced to $0.126, it has surged over 1500% from the June low of $0.00777, approaching the $500 million market capitalization threshold, sparking speculation about hitting $0.25 (the $1 billion market cap club). However, on-chain data reveals a sharp decline in new users and a drastic drop in activity, indicating fundamental concerns that diverge significantly from the current price movement. The technical indicators show an RSI of 72, indicating serious Overbought conditions, and in the short term, attention should be paid to the key support at $0.13; a breakthrough of the resistance at $0.16 may open up upward space.

ZORA surges wildly: 1500% rise targets 1 billion market capitalization

• Web3 Social Token Sets Record: ZORA Token surged by 55% overnight, reaching a historical high of $0.1409, currently reported at $0.126 (at the time of writing).
• Phenomenal price movement in the crypto market: This round of market activity has driven ZORA to surge over 1500% from its June low of $0.00777, with its market capitalization approaching the key psychological level of $500 million.
• Community FOMO sentiment intensifies: Strong upward momentum has sparked market expectations for ZORA to hit $0.25 (corresponding to a $1 billion market capitalization), which, if achieved, will place it among the top crypto assets.

Social Platform Model Analysis: How Creator Coin Drives the $0.25 Target

• Decentralized Social Disruptor: ZORA positions itself as a crypto-native alternative to Instagram/TikTok, focusing on enabling creators to monetize directly through innovative token economics.
• Creator Token Mechanism: Each user automatically receives an ERC-20 Creator Coin bound to their account (a total of 1 billion coins, with 50% immediately in circulation and the remaining 50% vesting to the creator over 5 years).
• Transaction Commission Incentive Ecosystem: Token trading generates a 1% ZORA fee directly to creators, establishing a strong correlation between "participation-revenue."
• Early discoverers profit: This mechanism incentivizes users to participate and hold tokens, allowing supporters to profit by identifying potential creators early.
• Base blockchain integration expands momentum: The platform recently integrated with the Base blockchain under Coinbase, significantly expanding the coverage of the crypto-native community and consolidating Zora's position as the leading social network for attention monetization in Web3.

Technical Analysis: Ascending Channel Maintained but Overbought Warning

(Source: TradingView)

• Strong Technical Structure: Despite a rise of over 10 times in the past 30 days, crypto analysts generally believe that ZORA is still in a strong upward trend.
• Bullish Signal from Cloud Analysis: Ichimoku cloud analysis indicates that the social platform Token may rise another 20-30%, challenging the key psychological resistance at $0.15.
• Fibonacci Target Guidance: Crypto AI analyst Kurnia Bijaksana pointed out that ZORA has effectively broken through the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, theoretically bullish up to the 2.618 level (0.172 USD).
• 4-hour chart key pattern: ZORA/USD is operating within an ascending channel, recently testing the upper channel at 0.14 dollars and then retracing.
• RSI Overbought Risk: The current RSI is around 72, entering the overbought zone, increasing the demand for short-term consolidation, and caution is needed for the risk of a pullback.
• Bull-Bear Tipping Point: Holding steady at the 0.1300–0.1340 USD support range can accumulate momentum to attack the 0.1600–0.1680 resistance area; if lost, it may deeply fall to 0.1000 or even 0.0805 USD.

Fundamental Concerns: On-chain Data and Price Severely Diverge

• Blockchain Analyst Warns: Analyst "BitBlaze" points out a serious disconnect: "$ZORA is experiencing a big pump, but the on-chain indicators do not match the rise at all."
• New User Cliff Fall: Key on-chain data shows that the number of new wallets per month has plummeted from over 60,000 during the initial launch to less than 10,000 currently.
• User Retention Rate Collapse: Most new user groups only maintain activity for 1-2 months before churning.
• Platform activity shrinks: The monthly transaction volume within the creator application plummeted from nearly 6 million transactions to less than 1.5 million; the number of active users halved from a peak of over 200,000 to about 50,000.
• Potential Bear Market Scenario: If market sentiment shifts, the weak fundamentals may trigger a price fall below the psychological level of $0.10, testing the support area at $0.0880.

Conclusion: The Game between Technical Frenzy and Fundamental Alerts ZORA has ignited market enthusiasm with its innovative Creator Coin mechanism and integration with the Base blockchain. The short-term technical structure still maintains upward potential, with the $0.16-$0.17 range becoming the next target for bulls. However, fundamental risks revealed by on-chain data, such as new user exhaustion and collapsing activity levels, hang over like the sword of Damocles. Investors need to closely monitor the strength of the $0.13 support and be wary of retracement pressure under an Overbought RSI. Whether it can hit the $0.25 milestone will depend on whether the platform's real user growth can match current market frenzy expectations; otherwise, the "Token economics innovative narrative" may struggle to withstand valuation corrections brought about by deteriorating fundamentals.