June 27, 2025 Time 21:25 Position

BTC Contract 15-Minute K-Line Market Trend Analysis Report

#### According to the market data provided by CoinAnk
- Current Price: 106657.40 USDT
- 24h Change: -0.316%
- Main support level: 106468.53 USDT
- Main resistance level: 107085.93 USDT
- Current trend: bearish oscillation

#### Detailed Explanation:
**Technical Indicators Summary:**
- **Moving Average System**: The current price is below MA5 (106784.75) and MA10 (106858.39), with MA5 crossing below MA10, indicating a bearish arrangement. MA20 (106886.30) is also above the current price, further confirming the short-term bearish trend.
- **MACD**: DIF (-83.09) is below DEA (-66.92), and the histogram is in negative territory (-16.17), indicating that bearish momentum is still continuing, but the histogram has slightly narrowed, which warrants caution for a short-term rebound.
- **BOLL**: The price is between the middle band (106886.29) and the lower band (106631.73), close to the lower band, with %B at 0.20%, indicating that the price is in a weak zone. If the lower band support holds, a rebound may be triggered.
- **RSI**: RSI6 (40.30) and RSI14 (42.53) are both in the neutral to weak region, not entering the oversold area (<30), indicating that the downward momentum has not yet fully released.
- **KDJ**: The K value (29.38) is below the D value (33.49), and the J value (21.15) is at a low level, indicating short-term overselling, but a golden cross has not formed yet, and further signals are needed.

**Indicator Data:**
- **Funding Rate**: 0.00314100%, neutral market sentiment, no significant extreme tendency.
- **Volume Change**: Recent candlestick charts show that during declines, the trading volume increases (for example, during the period of 1751027400000, the decline was accompanied by a volume of 2864.676), indicating strong bearish strength; during rebounds, the trading volume shrinks, showing weakness from the bulls.
- **Capital Flow Data**: The net inflow of contract funds in the last 24 hours is 560,681,984.11 USDT, while the net outflow of spot funds is 254,640,238.00 USDT, indicating that there is bottom-fishing capital entering the contract market, but the spot market continues to face selling pressure. A net outflow of contract funds in the short term (15m-1H) suggests that short-term speculative capital is exiting.

#### Analysis Result
- **Direction**: Cautiously short
**Reason**: The short-term moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, MACD has a death cross, and BOLL is in a weak range resonance, with volume and price indicating that bears are dominant. However, it is important to note that the oversold signals from KDJ and RSI may trigger a rebound.
- **Entry Timing**:
- Radicals: Enter with a light position at the current price of 106657.40 USDT, or add to the position near the rebound to 107085.93 USDT (R1 resistance level).
- Bearish: Short after waiting for the price to break below 106468.53 USDT (S1 support).
- **Stop Loss Setting**:
- Short Stop Loss: 107435.86 USDT (above R2 resistance level, about 3%).
- If it rebounds to 107085.93 USDT, you can enter, and the stop-loss can be reduced to 107300 USDT (2%).
- **Target Price**:
- First target: 106201.07 USDT (S2 support, approximately 4% yield).
- Second target: 105851.14 USDT (S3 support, approximately 7.5% yield).

**Tip**: If the price quickly rebounds and breaks through 107085.93 USDT while stabilizing, one should close positions and observe. This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice!