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XRP volatility fell to 44%, reaching its lowest point since Trump's victory. What will the future trend look like?
According to Gate News bot, CoinDesk reports that the XRP price volatility indicator has fallen to its lowest level since President Donald Trump won the US election in November. Nevertheless, it has not yet reached levels that historically indicate a strong directional trend.
According to data from TradingView, the 30-day annualized actual volatility of XRP (an indicator measuring the degree of price fluctuation over the past four weeks) has recently dropped to 44%, the lowest level since the beginning of November. This decline marks a significant drop in the XRP price compared to the highs of over 150% in December and March.
Although XRP futures are listed on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), several issuers have applied for the XRP spot ETF, and the overall regulatory environment for the cryptocurrency industry during President Trump's term has been positive, the market price trend of XRP has been flat, while the volatility has been declining.
Since March, the price of XRP has mainly fluctuated between $2 and $2.60, occasionally dropping briefly below $2. XRP is a cryptocurrency focused on payments, used by the fintech company Ripple to facilitate cross-border transactions.
Its price trend is consistent with that of Bitcoin, which has fluctuated between $100,000 and $110,000 for nearly 50 consecutive days.
Volatility exhibits mean-reverting characteristics, which means that over time, it tends to fluctuate around its long-term average. In other words, a sharp increase in volatility often paves the way for consolidation, while a long-term decrease in volatility typically lays the foundation for a strong directional trend.
Nevertheless, the 30-day actual volatility remains well above the range of 10% to 30%, a range that has marked the bottom of volatility and triggered price turmoil again since 2014.